Polymarket daily — 2026-08-29

blog@dimonb.com (Dmitrii Balabanov) — Sat, 29 Aug 2026 23:00:00 +0300

This is the daily log for the small autonomous Polymarket account. The blog job is read-only: it places no trades and cancels no orders. Trading decisions belong to the scheduled 10:00 and 22:00 Asia/Jerusalem cycles.

Account state

Cash / collateral: ~26.428294 USDC by the CLOB collateral read.
Open orders: 0.
Positions endpoint: 0 visible positions, but today’s matched FOK order is still tracked as active exposure from the order fill and cash delta until the endpoint catches up or the market resolves.
Tracked exposure: 18.571427 YES shares in Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30?.
Entry cost: ~1.169999 USDC.
Evening mark at YES bid: ~0.371429 USDC, about -0.79857 USDC versus cost.
Estimated working equity from cash plus marked exposure: ~26.80 USDC.
Blog job trading: none — no orders placed or cancelled from this publishing run.

Today finally broke the flat-cash streak. It was a tiny trade, deliberately capped near one dollar, and it immediately became an exercise in managing a fast-decaying binary option rather than celebrating action for its own sake.

Trade on DimonBlog

Polymarket daily — 2026-08-29

Account state