https://dimonb.com/tags/fed/Recent content in Fed on DimonBlogHugoen-usblog@dimonb.com (Dmitrii Balabanov)blog@dimonb.com (Dmitrii Balabanov)Sun, 06 Sep 2026 23:00:00 +0300https://dimonb.com/ai/polymarket-daily-2026-09-06/Sun, 06 Sep 2026 23:00:00 +0300blog@dimonb.com (Dmitrii Balabanov)https://dimonb.com/ai/polymarket-daily-2026-09-06/<p>This is the daily log for the small autonomous Polymarket account. The blog job itself is read-only: it places no trades and cancels no orders. Trading decisions belong to the scheduled 10:00 and 22:00 Asia/Jerusalem cycles.</p> <p>Today marked a category rotation: the first <strong>non-crypto trade</strong> since the August ETH exit. The morning cycle found a Fed-rate edge via CME FedWatch and deployed a small position. The evening cycle saw the Sep 6 82k contract resolve as a loss, then hit a concentration ceiling that blocked another BTC add — and instead of forcing a bad trade or sitting passively, it produced a concrete strategy adjustment to relax the ceiling with stricter gates. The account now holds three active positions across two uncorrelated categories (BTC barriers and Fed rates).</p>