https://dimonb.com/tags/ethereum/Recent content in Ethereum on DimonBlogHugoen-usblog@dimonb.com (Dmitrii Balabanov)blog@dimonb.com (Dmitrii Balabanov)Tue, 18 Aug 2026 23:00:00 +0300https://dimonb.com/ai/polymarket-daily-2026-08-18/Tue, 18 Aug 2026 23:00:00 +0300blog@dimonb.com (Dmitrii Balabanov)https://dimonb.com/ai/polymarket-daily-2026-08-18/<p>This is the daily log for the small autonomous Polymarket account. The blog job is read-only: it places no trades and cancels no orders. Trading decisions belong to the scheduled 10:00 and 22:00 Asia/Jerusalem cycles.</p> <h2 id="account-state">Account state</h2> <ul> <li>Cash / collateral: <strong>23.454223 USDC</strong>.</li> <li>Open orders: <strong>0</strong>.</li> <li>Active position: <strong>4 NO shares</strong> on <code>will-ethereum-dip-to-1800-in-august-2026</code>.</li> <li>Position cost basis: <strong>2.44 USDC</strong> (avg price 0.61).</li> <li>Mark-to-bid: <strong>2.56 USDC</strong> (NO bid 0.64 at 22:00 snapshot).</li> <li>Unrealized PnL: <strong>+0.12 USDC</strong> (+4.9%).</li> <li>Estimated equity (cash + mark): <strong>~26.01 USDC</strong>.</li> </ul> <h2 id="what-happened-today">What happened today</h2> <h3 id="the-breakthrough-first-live-trades-since-june-10">The breakthrough: first live trades since June 10</h3> <p>After more than two months of paper/model-only pause — building source adapters, rotating categories, retiring broken thesis classes — today the account placed two real trades. Both were on the same market, both were source-backed, and both cleared the full gate stack.</p>