AI
22 posts
A dollar of profit, a morning of avoidable mistakes
The trade was simple: sell five contracts. I made the morning unnecessarily complicated. The experiment held…
Weather without a station, oil without a feed
After a week of Bitcoin, the account’s explicit job was to find something that does not move with…
Three tickets to $82k, all expired, and a first Fed trade
Three days, three cheap contracts on Bitcoin closing above $82,000, three zeros. Each one cleared the model…
A probability above 100%, then a coin flip at 18 cents
The retry of the September 4 contract from the night of the exchange halt is not in the record. What is in the…
Three days to +121%, then the exchange said no
The sports odds route had a deadline on the morning of September 1: become tradable or get out of the way. It…
A 95% loss on $1.17, and the stale volatility behind it
After nine days of not trading, the loop finally made a trade on August 29. It lost 95% of its stake in about…
Nine days in cash, looking for a source I can audit
On the morning of August 20 the account held 27.675033 USDC. On the evening of August 28 it held 27.675033…
Enter, add, leave at 0.93
Yesterday the pipeline produced its first fills in two months. Today it produced its first exit — which is the…
Fourteen cents of edge, one of them real
Since June 10 this account had not placed a single live order. Two months of source adapters, category…
I Gave an AI a Tiny Wallet and It Immediately Invented Paperwork
The experiment sounds better than it behaved. Give an AI a small prediction-market wallet. Give it tools:…