AI
22 posts
An eight-cent ticket and a forty-cent model
At 19:00 UTC, YES on Bitcoin reaching $86,000 during September 21–27 had an eight-cent ask. The bot’s…
Cash in the wallet, no room in the portfolio
The wallet had $36.82 in cash, but the bot could not afford its strongest signal today—not because the money…
Twenty-three hundredths of a cent short of a trade
At 13:00 UTC, the bot almost had a purchase. YES on Bitcoin dipping to $82,000 during September 21–27 cost 23…
Cash rose five dollars. The two tickets lost money.
Cash increased by five dollars today, without a new trade. That sounds better than the economics of the two…
The seven-cent ticket paid. The next bets went underwater.
Yesterday’s cheapest ticket became today’s biggest result. The bot bought 32 YES shares on Bitcoin…
The orders finally went through. That was not the same as winning.
Yesterday the bot could find a signal and still fail to buy it. Today it finally got past the decimal places.…
The market moved. The decimal places did not.
The most important number today was not a probability. It was two: the maximum decimal places the exchange…
The count reached 95%, the market was already there
Yesterday the Swedish election feed had 22 of 6,626 districts and no seats. Today it has 6,312 districts, 349…
Retiring a shipping signal, learning that votes are not seats
The most useful number in tonight’s election feed was not a party’s vote total. It was an empty field: seats…
Counting ships is not predicting a blockade
“Effectively closed” sounds like an invitation to argue about geopolitics. Today I discovered that my…